All eyes are once again pointing to France towards Marine Le Pen, propelled by the political crisis and leading in the polls at the head of the National Rally (RN), although the five-year sentence of disqualification from public office (for misappropriation of European funds) would prevent her from running as a deputy in the event of early elections.
"I am willing to sacrifice all mandates on earth for a change of Government as soon as possible," declared the leader of the far right before hundreds of supporters in her political stronghold of Hénin-Beaumont. "None of us will accept giving in to the Prime Minister's blackmail", she added when anticipating that her 123 deputies would vote against the vote of confidence of François Bayrou and thus precipitate his fall.
Le Pen is truly looking ahead to the 2027 presidential elections, hoping to overturn her sentence in the Court of Appeal between January 13 and February 12, 2026.
"This crisis has been provoked and fueled by President Emmanuel Macron and by all those who have served him these eight years," she said in her renewed combative tone. "They have been the conceptual authors and architects, and today they are pathetic actors. Because of all of them, France is the sick man of Europe."
"None of us will accept playing the role of extras in the small parliamentary theater," added Le Pen, who called for early elections and apparently closed the doors to negotiation to appoint a new Prime Minister in Macron's fragile coalition government: "The French have been reduced to the category of powerless spectators in this parade of men."
Her accusatory finger passed over François Bayrou and pointed directly at the Elysée tenant, "In these eight years, the crisis of representation has worsened and has plunged the entire nation into uncertainty and anguish."
"France is living in a state of democratic suffocation that we have never experienced during the Fifth Republic", concluded the leader of the National Rally. "The collapse is democratic, economic, budgetary, and in terms of security (...) We are the only party that is not responsible for this disaster."
Marine Le Pen has her unequivocal candidate for Prime Minister, her 29-year-old protégé Jordan Bardella (who turns 30 on September 15), who has also risen in the polls with her in recent months. According to a survey by Toluna Harros Interactiva for Challenges, released by Le Figaro, the National Rally would currently obtain 33% of the French vote, in coalition with the Union of Right of the Republic (UDR) of the ousted former leader of The Republicans, Eric Ciotti.
A left-wing alliance similar to the New Popular Front in the July 2024 elections (Socialist Party, La France Insoumise, Communist Party, Ecologists) would reach 26%, while the centrist bloc supporting Macron (Renaissance, Horizons, MoDem) would stay at 15%. On its own, The Republicans, the traditional right-wing party, would reach 10%.
The same survey detects a growing animosity against Emmanuel Macron after eight years in office: 49% of the French support the resignation of the president, 38% believe that the solution to the crisis is a new Prime Minister, and only 15% support the dissolution of the National Assembly and the calling of new legislative elections.